Published: 19 June 2025
Last updated: 19 June 2025
While Israeli strikes have dealt a blow to Iran’s military infrastructure, Tehran’s much-feared axis of regional allies has yet to fully mobilise. Trump’s strategic indecision and muted responses from Hezbollah, Iraqi militias and Russia, mean a complex web of restraint, caution, and political calculation is holding back a broader regional eruption — for now.
Trump still undecided
The US military has built up its presence in the Middle East in recent days. A third US Navy destroyer has entered the eastern Mediterranean Sea, and a second US carrier strike group is heading towards the Arabian Sea. While the Pentagon claims the build-up is purely defensive, it also positions the US more favourably should President Trump decide to join Israeli attacks on Iran. It may also be a tactic to pressure Iran into capitulation or concessions.
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