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HomeRead, Watch, ListenIsrael
AnalysisIsrael

Israel likely to sign landmark security agreement with Syria

A deal would rehabilitate Syrian President Al-Sharaa in the eyes of the West, and reduce the chances of military escalation in Israel’s north.
Dror Doron
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Man at a lectern in front of dramatic green and blue projections and a projection of a spread-winged eagle and 3 stars

Syrian President Ahmed Hussein al-Sharaa makes an inauguration statement at the International Damascus Fair on August 27, 2025. (Bakr Al Kasem/Anadolu via Getty Images)

Published: 29 August 2025

Last updated: 7 January 2026

Update: In January 2026, the US announced the deal had been signed.

Israel and Syria are about to sign a bilateral security agreement regarding their common border along the Golan heights.

The importance of this event cannot be overstated, as no such diplomatic development has taken place between the two countries since the disengagement agreement at the end of the Yom Kipur war, five decades ago.

The agreement about to be formalized is far from being a peace treaty.  

Nevertheless, Ahmed Al-Sharaa, the Syrian president, was quoted saying to Arab journalists in Damascus, that the upcoming agreement will set the ground for further confidence building measures and possibly, when the circumstances are right, towards a future peace agreement.

These public statements by the Syrian president are the peak of months-long efforts by the new ruler to gain western trust, support and mitigate the chances of Israel destabilizing his regime.

Rehabilitating a jihadist

Al-Sharaa knows very well that any chance he has to rebuild Syria after the decade long destructive civil war is dependent of massive western support. In order to secure this vital support, he must calm international community fears, demonstrating that he has abandoned his radical Islamist past and can control the Jihadist groups, which brought him to power and still operate under his regime.

Al-Sharaa must prove to the international community that he has undergone significant ‘rehabilitation’. He must show that he is no longer the renowned terrorist wanted by the US with a $10 million price over his head, nor the man who led the local al Queda branch in Syria for years. He must also distance himself from the brutal massacres committed in the recent months by jihadist loyalists.

This is where Israel comes into the picture. Gaining Israel’s formal approval of his regime will eliminate the last constraints preventing leading western countries, first and foremost the US, from engaging in the multi-billion-dollar mission of rebuilding Syria.

Reducing the chance of military engagement

At the same time, Israel has already demonstrated its potential to severely destabilize the new regime through its overwhelming military superiority over Syria, and it is vital for him to mitigate the threat Israel poses to his regime.

Last month, Israel carried out targeted strikes in the vicinity of the presidential palace in Damascus. These attacks were a clear message sent to the new president aimed at forcing him to restrain his Jihadist loyalists who were engaged at the time heinous acts of violence against the Druze minority in Southern Syria, close to the border with Israel.

Over the months that have passed since Al-Sharaa took power in Damascus in late 2023, various reports exposed meetings between Israeli and Syrian officials held in Azerbaijan, Jordan and France, with active mediation by the US administration.

The aim of those covert communication channels was to prevent military escalation between the two countries and establish understandings regarding the security regime Israel wishes to establish in the Golan Hights.

It is widely believed that two months ago, Al-Sharaa sent the first a clear message of willingness to open a new chapter with Israel. The transfer of documents and personal belongings of Eli Cohen, Israel’s most renowned spy caught and hanged in Syria 60 years ago, to Jerusalem, was reportedly done with the blessing of Al-Sharra as part of his attempt to leverage this sensitive issue as a confidence-building measure towards Israel.

Risks and opportunities

From Israel’s perspective, the new regime in Syria presents a complex array of risks and opportunities. The risks are clear: after the trauma of the October 7 attack, Israel has very low tolerance to an Islamist regime with undeniable Jihadist background stationed on its northern border.

On the other hand, Israel cannot ignore Al-Sharaa's positive signals for reconciliation and the clear political pragmatism he demonstrates since taking power. Being a fierce rival of Iran and Hezbollah makes Al-Sharaa a potential alley in Israel’s years long war against Tehran and its proxies.

Allowing stability to be reinstated in Syria after a decade is a positive strategic development. Doing so while taking calculated risks through a gradual process of bilateral diplomatic engagement, holds the potential of answering Israel’s security demands, as well as setting the ground for one of Israel’s historic objectives: a formal peace treaty with Syria.

The reports of a bilateral security agreement being in its advanced stages of negotiations, should be seen as a “good news” and followed carefully. Nevertheless, radical elements in Syria and political extremists in Israel could see such a move negatively and try to prevent its completion.

It is critical for the leadership of the two countries, with the help of the international mediators, to overcome the remaining gaps and challenges till the formal signing of the agreement, as their success will be of historical importance.

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Comments1

  • Avatar of David Jackson

    David Jackson3 September at 04:59 am

    Great news. A step in the right direction. Hopefully Hamas is paying attention.

About the author

Dror Doron

Dror Doron

Dror Doron is a senior political analyst specialising in the Middle East, and is a senior adviser at United Against Nuclear Iran (UANI) focusing on Hezbollah and Lebanon.

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