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HomeRead, Watch, ListenIsrael
AnalysisIsrael

And the winner is…Benjamin Netanyahu

The highly popular war is boosting Netanyahu's popularity and will encourage him to go to the polls soon.
Ben Lynfield
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Netanyahu Iran war

Netanyahu visits Beit Shemesh near West Jerusalem, where nine people have been killed and 27 injured in an Iranian missile (Avi Ohayon / GPO / Handout/Anadolu via Getty Images)

Published: 5 March 2026

Last updated: 5 March 2026

The biggest winner of the Iran war to date is Benjamin Netanyahu, whose popularity is rising after the US-Israeli attacks crippling Tehran’s military capabilities and decapitating its leadership.

In Israel there is a widespread public perception that a longstanding existential threat is being removed thanks largely to Netanyahu.

Netanyahu and his Likud party hope the public backing for the war, put at 94 percent of the Jewish public in an Israel Democracy Institute poll released Wednesday will be sustained and translate into victory in upcoming elections. The coalition went into the war trailing markedly in polls. Now, riding the war’s popularity, Likud Science Minister Gila Gamliel says the party intends to move elections up from October to June, the earliest time possible.

For Netanyahu, continued US and Israeli success in the war and the achievement of the regime change it is supposed to ignite would, he hopes, bring redemption from his failures to prevent the Oct 7, 2023 attack by Hamas. It would likely also garner more support for President Isaac Herzog to pardon him and cancel his corruption trials.

"The commentators have acted as though their job is to speak on behalf of the IDF Homefront Command instead of considering if war during an election year is really a war on behalf of humanity"

Yasmin Levy, Haaretz

Netanyahu’s gains since the war began with the stunning airstrikes that killed about forty senior Iranian leaders including Iranian supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei have been dramatic. Even his most virulent critics have applauded. Alon-Lee Green, codirector of the left wing Arab-Jewish Standing Together organization posted on Facebook, “Khameinai was a murderous dictator who cruelly oppressed his people. His disappearance from the world won’t make anyone shed a tear.”

Salim Brake, who teaches at Israel’s Open University and sharply criticizes Netanyahu for Oct 7 and undermining democratic norms, praised his handling of the war thus far. “Netanyahu has been doing work that is not bad at all,” he said. “As it looks now the war is justified and being conducted very well.”

“This is a consensus war. I don’t think someone will oppose it if it is run properly and there aren’t complications,” he said.

Veteran political and strategic analyst Yossi Alpher told TJI that the broad support the war has in Israel as opposed to the broad criticism it has triggered in the US is because “Iran is for Israel an existential threat. I don’t think anyone in America sees it that way.”

He added that Oct 7 is associated in the minds of Israelis with Iran because of Tehran’s backing for Hamas and support for attacking Israel. “It’s at the top heap of our existential enemies which is not at all the case for the US.”

Another explanation may be that the watchdogs in Israel, such as the media, are loathe to raise the tough questions during wartime. This was most apparent during the Gaza war when networks failed almost entirely to cover deaths of Palestinian civilians that was the main issue in the war for the international community. The media is now failing again to examine Israel’s actions and motives critically, according to Yasmin Levy, the television review columnist for Haaretz.

“We are witnessing a blind mobilisation of journalists supporting the attack, with most of them leaving their doubts outside the shelter room and the studio…The commentators have acted as though their job is to speak on behalf of the IDF Homefront Command instead of considering if war during an election year is really a war on behalf of humanity as Netanyahu has claimed.”

Major questions that are not getting much serious discussion include whether it is realistic to expect that Israel can cause Iranians to overthrow their regime, something ministers frequently cite as the end goal of the war. The IDI polling shows most Israeli Jews want regime change even if it takes time, with 57 percent of the Jewish public saying the military should continue until the Iranian regime is overthrown.

The media is allowing the coalition to stoke belief in Israel’s capacity to achieve this and to set the stage for any failure to be blamed on the Iranian people themselves. Energy Minister Eli Cohen, from Likud, stressed during an interview with the Kan public broadcaster Tuesday that Israel will “create the conditions for the Iranian people” to overthrow the regime.

“More than 70 percent of the Iranian people want replacement. But 20 percent have the weapons and are butchers. We are taking actions.”

“Netanyahu is in his best position since he was first elected prime minister in 1996"

Aviv Bushinsky, media commentator and former Netanyahu adviser

However, a significant number of academics believe regime change is impossible, including Meir Litvak, the director of the Iranian studies program at Tel Aviv University. Brake explains, “For regime change you have to send in soldiers to the area, not only strike from the air. You can weaken the regime but not replace it. In Iran there is no clear opposition. The son of the Shah is in the United States but he has no support. Neither Israel nor the United States is capable of replacing the regime. But it is important to weaken it.”

The media is not giving the sceptics much air time. Rather they are trotting out advocates of escalation., such as Maj General (retired) Giora Eiland who volunteered the Americans to put the boots on the ground for regime change. “The Iranians will welcome the Americans with great joy. If they undertake a ground operation it won’t be like Iraq or Afghanistan,” he said

But for now Netanyahu is making a spectacular comeback. At present, seventy four percent of the Jewish population trust or very much trust Netanyahu to manage the war, the IDI survey showed. Leaders of Israel’s Arab citizens have come out strongly against the war, warning the government would use it to increase “acts of slaughter and ethnic cleansing” in the occupied West Bank and Gaza Strip.

But all Zionist opposition parties are backing the war, giving Netanyahu immunity from competition and criticism. “Netanyahu is in his best position since he was first elected prime minister in 1996 because the whole country knows he is the right leader at the right time,” says Aviv Bushinsky, a media commentator and former adviser to Netanyahu. “He’s wanted this for years. For him it’s a dream come true. Not only is Israel doing what it is doing, but this is in full collaboration with the US. It’s a joining of forces.”

However, the government’s stoking of aspirations for regime change could backfire. "If the Iranian regime manages to sustain itself this will be a big issue, a big problem for Netanyahu,” Bushinsky said. Given that Hamas is still intact in Gaza in contrast to what Netanyahu promised, Netanyahu will be vulnerable to accusations that here too “he doesn’t know how to finish the game”, Bushinsky says.

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Comments6

  • Avatar of RJ

    RJ20 April at 04:51 pm

    What’s your source? Other polls and news out of Israel are telling a VERY different story.

    https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/despite-israeli-firepower-netanyahu-struggles-political-gains-iran-war-2026-04-14/

  • Avatar of Vernon

    Vernon19 April at 11:49 am

    •The term is loath to, not loathe to.
    •Netanyahu and Tя☭mp should both be behind bars.
    •I must question your poll numbers, unless the people of Israhell have collectively lost their minds.

  • Avatar of Va Chilton

    Va Chilton9 April at 09:27 pm

    I feel Israel takes a spoiled child’s view on it’s “specialness”, likely due to the ‘concept’ of being “chosen people”. God, who is Father of everyone, did not make “special” or “less special” categories of people. People did. Israelis particularly so, perhaps because They scratched their names on the walls first. No peoples are “special”. There are now billions of names on the walls, each one precious to God and directly from God. We each and every one make up the whole. When we put ourselves above any other, we are surely on our way to crashing. No person is preferred by the All That Is. No person will be left behind in the final moment. The only truth is that we are all related, all equal in essence, and all in this mess together. And we will all be healed in the end.

    The only real way out is together, with no one left behind.

  • Avatar of Mark Ian

    Mark Ian

About the author

Ben Lynfield

Ben Lynfield

Ben Lynfield covered Israeli and Palestinian politics for The Independent and served as Middle Eastern affairs correspondent at The Jerusalem Post. He writes for publications in the region and has contributed to the Christian Science Monitor, Foreign Policy and the New Statesman.

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8 March at 12:23 am

The Winners are the Jewish Israelis Christian and Druze Arabs and Humane Islamic Palestinians that appreciate Human Rights Shelter Safe Water Safe Food Health and Education and safe large Families with Tax Breaks .
Then the many Iranian people who remember tens of thousands of youth shot dead in January 2026 .
Even the Shah ruthless as he was refused to massacre his people 1978-1979 and left Iran hoping for a Islam
Regime that would include Social Democrats but the Islamists killed the more extreme Socialists and Communists and sidelined and some times killed Social Democrats.
Humane Rights Agnostics were Heretics destined to execution or long prison times .

  • Avatar of Aditi Raulia

    Aditi Raulia6 March at 06:11 am

    Never read such a delusional perspective in my life. The world is mad at you Israel

  • Avatar of Revolution

    Revolution5 March at 02:08 am

    Irans leadership was quickly reconstituded and it has rejected a ceasefire. It struck us bases in nine countries.
    Missiles are striking Tel Aviv and several other sites for the fifth day.