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HomeRead, Watch, ListenIsrael
Israel Hamas WarEditorialIsrael

Three years after Oct 7: an anniversary of reckoning

Only this year, with the hostages home and a shaky ceasefire in place, is Oct 7 an anniversary when we can begin to assess the impact of the Hamas attack..
The Jewish Independent
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IOct 7 anniversary

A man and a woman embrace on the first anniversary of the October 7 attack at the site of the Nova Festival where hundreds young people were murdered or kidnapped (Leon Neal/Getty Images)

Published: 1 October 2026

Last updated: 1 October 2026

October 7, 2026, marks the third anniversary of the devastating Oct 7 Hamas attack, but in many ways, it is the first anniversary on which the impact of that day can begin to be assessed.

Until this anniversary, Israel could not even count its dead. The body of the last hostage to come home from Gaza, Ran Gvili, only returned in January this year. The prolonged suffering of the hostages taken on that day, meant that Oct 7 remained for more than two years not a past trauma but a continuing assault.

Nor could the people of Gaza begin to recover or rebuild while the terrible war unleashed by Oct 7 continued to destroy the lives of Palestinians.

Now, with the hostages home or buried and the ceasefire, however unstable, in place, we can consider the many ways in which this single act of war upended the lives of Israelis and Palestinians, of the Middle East region, and of Jews around the world.  

It is a tragic accounting. If the terrorists’ intention was to inflict pain, Oct 7 was an evil success. If they wanted to improve the lives of Palestinians and move the dial towards a free and independent Palestine, Oct 7 was an utter failure.

The most potent and longstanding impacts of Oct 7 was not the experience of Israel as a victim but its characterisation as an aggressor

The raw numbers of deaths and injuries are the easiest to count but they are far from the whole story.

In Israel 1200 people were killed on Oct 7 – the greatest number of Jews killed in a single day since the Holocaust. Another 251 people were abducted and taken to Gaza: all of whom suffered horrendously and 83 of whom not return alive. About 5,000 Israelis and foreign residents in Israel suffered physical injuries, including a degree of widespread sexual violence which has only been fully revealed in recent months. More than 2,000 Israelis have been killed as a result of war since.

In Gaza, the numbers have been much higher. According to the Gaza Ministry of Health, 67,075 people were killed in the two years of war and 169,430 wounded. Nearly the entire population of the Gaza Strip, some two million people, was displaced and about 60,000 were declared to be facing famine.

The disparity between these two sets of numbers has had a distorting effect on the international response. The tragedy of Oct 7 has been largely forgotten in the tragedy of Gaza. Debates about whether the war was necessary, proportionate or within international law quickly displaced any understanding of Israel’s strikes as a defensive response to an unprovoked attack.

As the suffering in Gaza increased, the violence of Israel’s response triggered understandable international outrage so that one of the most potent and longstanding impacts of Oct 7 was not the experience of Israel as a victim but its characterisation as an aggressor.

Palestinians are further from autonomy than they were three years ago

Some supporters of the Palestinian cause see the marginalisation of Israel as evidence of success of the attack, but it has done Palestinians no good. Palestinians are further from autonomy than they were three years ago. The attack strengthened extremists on both sides of the conflict, empowering a discourse in Israel summarised in the words of then Defence Minister Yoav Gallant "We are fighting human animals and we are acting accordingly."

A traumatised Israel lost interest in co-existence or Palestinian rights and Israel’s fierce response, not only in Gaza but also in the West Bank, left Palestinians structurally and economically weaker, undermining moderates and peacebuilders.

Deaths and injuries are only the tip of a huge iceberg. Arguably every single Israeli, every Palestinian, every Jew around the world, and many others suffered some degree of mental trauma as a result of the events unleashed on Oct 7.

The political ramifications are similarly widespread. We now know that weeks before Oct 7, Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar threatened to unleash an “earthquake” if his demands for prisoner release by Israel were not met. The attack certainly shook the region far beyond the direct consequences for the Israel-Palestine conflict.

It’s easy to forget that at the time Saudi Arabia and Israel were close to an agreement on normalisation – an improvement that is now all but off the table. Syria has undergone a regime transformation, Türkiye’s influence has grown, Lebanon has been shaken, and the Houthis in Yemen have strengthened their foothold. While none of these changes is holly attributable to Oct 7, all were influenced by the Gaza War and all have implications for Israel. In addition to continuing violence in Gaza and the West Bank, Israel “seven-front war’ means it has been under attack from Iran, Lebanon, Yemen, Syria and Iraq.

For Diaspora Jews, the impacts stretch literally across the world, profoundly changing communities as far away as Australia.  Oct 7 was a watershed moment, unleashing a hostility never experienced by the current generation. It was evident even before Israel responded – as the notorious hatred at the Sydney Opera House on Oct 9, 2023, illustrated. As Israel razed Gaza, international concern for Palestinians transformed into scapegoating of Jews in an unprecedented manner.

The costs were massive – the Bondi massacre at Chanukah by the Sea making Australia the most extreme international example but far from the only one. The Anti-Defamation League (ADL) has recorded more than 80 attacks on synagogues in 13 countries including the US, UK, France, Canada and Australia.

For the first time in many of our lifetimes, Jews found themselves excluded and vilified, particularly in the arts and academic sectors. The domino effect of Oct 7 not only isolated Israel but made Diaspora Jews vulnerable. Jews were asked to disown their family and friends in Israel and the term ‘Zionist’ became a term of abuse, almost interchangeable with the word ‘Jew’.

At the same time, Israel’s drift to the right and the extremity of its War in Gaza created enormous cleavages among Jews, both within and outside Israel. The Netanyahu government’s failure to take responsibility for the security failures of Oct 7 and its determination to prioritise the – impossible – destruction of Hamas over the return of the hostages met fierce opposition. Just what that means for Israeli politics may become clear in the election later this month.

Many Diaspora Jews – already disturbed by the anti-democratic nature of the Netanyahu government and the violence in the West Bank – became increasingly alienated from Israel while others became fiercer in their support of the country, no matter what.

In this traumatised and damaged world, the voices for coexistence have been drowned out. The possibility of Israel and Palestine, living side by side in peace, seems further away than ever. 

Three years on, the world is a worse place in every dimension for the tragedy that took place on Oct 7, 2023.

But if there is one thing history has taught the Jewish people, it is resilience. We mourn but we move on. The most important refrain to come out of Oct 7, born of the attack on the Nova festival, must remain on our lips. We will dance again.  

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